Oil

Latest Stories

Oil Beta Percolates Under the Market’s Surface

By Greg Zappin | April 27, 2017

Oil prices were the big story in the credit markets from the fall of 2014 through the fall of 2016 as the 40% decline in benchmark WTI helped drive a… Read More

Signals to Watch Through the Current Fed Rate Hike Cycle

By John Swarr | March 15, 2017

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to release its policy rate decision today at 2:00PM EST. The broad market consensus is the Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) this afternoon. However, market participants will also be anticipating the release of the “dot plot,” which FOMC members use to signal their outlook for the number and timing of future policy rate increases. The dot plot was last released at the December 2016 meeting, and the median dots showed three 25 bps rate hikes for 2017. Although the dots can help investors understand what FOMC members are thinking, the dot plot can differ from the market’s forecast of future short rates in the Eurodollar futures market.

Despite Its Volatility, Stay the Course with Energy

By Trevor M. Williams | January 5, 2017

Like most products and services, the price of oil is a function of supply and demand. During periods of extended oversupply, the price of oil tends to fall.

Will the Natural Gas Price Recovery be Sustained?

By Greg Zappin | October 27, 2016

Oil, copper, steel, gold and other industrial and precious metals tend to garner most of the attention in the credit markets when talking about the commodity complex. Rightly so, as they serve as proxies for global gross domestic product (GDP) growth, flight to quality/risk sentiment and Chinese demand.

Jackson Hole Speech Headlines a Quiet Week Ahead

By David O'Malley | August 22, 2016

I expect the week ahead to be calm, with all eyes on Janet Yellen’s speech on Friday, August 26, at the Federal Reserve (Fed)’s Jackson Hole Wyoming symposium hosted by the Kansas City Fed.

Goldilocks Visits the Oil Patch

By Greg Zappin | June 2, 2016

Not too hot, not too cold. That’s been the state of the domestic economy for the better part of seven years. Every time we think the party is about to end, the central banks have managed to maintain order and reestablish equilibrium.

Oil and High Yield Correlations Stay Strong

By Greg Zappin | March 31, 2016

Because of the high correlation with oil prices, it is increasingly difficult to have a call on the attractiveness of the high yield market without a call on oil.

Economy, Employment and Inflation

By David O'Malley | March 28, 2016

As we approach the end of a volatile first quarter, the number one question I have been receiving recently is, “Where do markets and the economy go from here?”

Is Inflation Good for Equities?

By David O'Malley | February 22, 2016

Inflation data still remains low and energy is holding down the headline CPI numbers, but, given the recent uptick in average hourly earnings, it is worth watching any trend for inflation closely. Is rising inflation good for equities?

Global Trade Outlook: A Tale of Two Vessels

By Jason Merrill | February 11, 2016

Weakening coal demand from China remains a drag on global trade. However, crude oil tankers have stayed quite busy and full.



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The material provided here is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management.

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This material is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management.  This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.

Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute judgment of the author and are subject to change without notice.  The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from sources deemed to be reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete.  Statements that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance of the markets may be considered forward-looking statements.  Actual results may differ significantly.  Any forecasts contained in this material are based on various estimates and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such estimates or assumptions will prove accurate.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  All information referenced in preparation of this material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information and Penn Mutual Asset Management shall have no liability for decisions based upon such information.

High-Yield bonds are subject to greater fluctuations in value and risk of loss of income and principal. Investing in higher yielding, lower rated corporate bonds have a greater risk of price fluctuations and loss of principal and income than U.S. Treasury bonds and bills. Government securities offer a higher degree of safety and are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest if held to maturity.

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