Market volatility

Latest Stories

Washington DC, North Korea Have Skew at Multi-Year Highs

By John Swarr | August 31, 2017

Despite the S&P500 (SPX) being less than 2% off the all-time high it achieved a mere three weeks ago, market signals are suggesting that investors are beginning to turn bearish on equities. Turbulence within the Trump administration, the potential for a government shutdown, and tension with North Korea all have investors nervous as volatility starts to pick up after a historically low period the past several months. As a sign market participants are wary of a pullback in equities, traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and the Japanese Yen have been rallying since mid-July.

The Grind is Real

By Jason Merrill | August 24, 2017

In spite of domestic political unrest and continued geopolitical uncertainty, the markets have enjoyed a surprising amount of stability since September 2016. Spreads have continued to grind tighter and tighter, begging the question, “how low can you go?” When spreads are at the tights across most sectors, cross-sector relative value becomes a more important form of differentiation between investments – and definitely more interesting during a summer of weak supply and low market volatility!

Jackson Hole Conference will be Closely Watched

By David O'Malley | August 21, 2017

Beginning on Thursday, the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank hosts its annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. The annual meeting draws central bankers from around the world, including Janet Yellen from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and Mario Draghi from the European Central Bank (ECB).

Geopolitical Risks Muddy the Economic Picture

By David O'Malley | August 14, 2017

Geopolitical risks dominated headlines last week with the increasing escalation over North Korea’s nuclear weapons program stealing most of the spotlight. The war of words that has been simmering between the U.S. and North Korea bubbled over into markets. After making new highs, the S&P 500 fell 2% late in the week, marking the first significant sell off in several months.

How Long Will our ‘Goldilocks’ Economy Under Trump Last?

By Penn Mutual Asset Management | August 9, 2017

Penn Mutual Asset Management CIO Mark Heppenstall contributed an article to The Hill where he discusses the current gridlock in Washington, the “new normal” economic environment and investment trends amid low volatility. Mark anticipates all these factors will extend the credit cycle into extra innings and enable the Fed to be patient with future rate hikes.

The Market and Economic Impact of the Trump Administration

By David O'Malley | January 17, 2017

This week has several key market-moving events, including the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, potentially impactful dialog coming out of the World Economic Forum in Davos and key economic data in the both the U.S. and around the globe. However, the swearing in of the new administration on Friday and the changes that will be made in Washington trumps all of them (pun intended).

The Fed’s Dilemma

By David O'Malley | September 19, 2016

On Wednesday around 2:00 p.m. ET, we will find out the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to either keep interest rates unchanged or increase them by 25 basis points. Most market… Read More

August Employment Report was Inconclusive

By David O'Malley | September 6, 2016

The employment report last week was mediocre, which makes my predictions for September less certain. During August the economy created 151,000 new jobs, below the last two months but not low enough to create concerns.

Is the Success of Monetary Policy Good for Investors?

By Zhiwei Ren | August 18, 2016

If the original goal of monetary easing was to stimulate growth and inflation, we can say it has failed. The question is: Do investors want the central banks to succeed eventually?

U.S. Employment Trends Remain Favorable

By David O'Malley | August 8, 2016

The July payroll report on U.S. employment backed up the strong June report with another favorable sign for hiring. July non-farm payrolls rose by 255,000, with a net 18,000 positive… Read More



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This blog post is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, Dave O’Malley, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.

Any statements about financial and company performance of The Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company or its insurance subsidiaries (each, “Client”) made by the author is provided with a written consent from the Client.  Penn Mutual Asset Management is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company.

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Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute judgment of the author and are subject to change without notice.  The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from sources deemed to be reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete.  Statements that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance of the markets may be considered forward-looking statements.  Actual results may differ significantly.  Any forecasts contained in this material are based on various estimates and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such estimates or assumptions will prove accurate.

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