Equity market

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Inflation Data Disappoints

By David O'Malley | October 16, 2017

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.5% for the month of September but was lower than expected. Despite a tight labor market, strong economic conditions and increasing commodity prices, inflation has remained lower than expected throughout 2017. Further, CPI has been lower than its expectations in six of the last seven months.

Fundamentals Rule the Day

By Greg Zappin | October 12, 2017

The daily record highs in the equity markets and the relentless grind tighter in the credit markets elicit both feelings of marvel and trepidation. As you can see in the chart above, revenue and EBITDA are growing at strong levels across the companies in the S&P 500. The uneasy feeling in the fixed income market comes from the disparity between valuations at or near their post crisis tights versus the constant barrage of negative news outside of Wall Street – North Korean war talk, devastating hurricanes and fires, mass shooting in Las Vegas, and dysfunction in Washington. For most high-yield investors, waiting for the big pullback by sitting in cash is not an option, as the active manager gets compensated to take risk and outperform an index. It’s easy to get distracted in this type of market. When I sift through all the noise, I have found the best way to construct a credit portfolio is to rely on business fundamentals as a guiding light.

What Will the Fourth Quarter Hold for the Markets?

By David O'Malley | October 2, 2017

Before beginning, we would first like to extend our heartfelt thoughts and sympathies to all of those affected by the recent tragedy in Las Vegas. Equity markets ended the third quarter on a positive note as optimism about the economy and fiscal stimulus in the form of tax cuts kept stocks well bid. The fourth quarter gets off to a quick start this week with some key U.S. economic data.

The Business Cycle Extends

By Greg Zappin | June 22, 2017

The current business cycle has become one of the longest on record, and based on our intermediate-term outlook, it could end up rivaling the 1991-2001 period in terms of its duration. Interestingly, because of the muted nature of the recovery and broader deleveraging that has occurred, the excesses that typically build as growth accelerates have not emerged, and therefore the current credit cycle is less extended.

Sell in May and Go Away?

By David O'Malley | May 30, 2017

As we reach the end of May, I was thinking of the old trading adage “sell in May and go away,” or the recommendation to sell stocks in May and buy them back in November, therefore avoiding the historic volatility that has occurred in the June to October period. Since 1950, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has returned 0.3% during the May to October period versus 7.5% in the November to April period.

Stocks Rally on French Election

By David O'Malley | April 24, 2017

The results of the first round of French elections sent stocks around the world higher in early trading on Sunday. Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will advance to the… Read More

Credit Spread Tightening Gives the “All Clear” for Equities

By David O'Malley | April 18, 2016

For the better part of the last year, I observed credit spreads acting as a good leading indicator of equity and risk market price moves. If this correlation holds true, then the recent strong performance of investment-grade and high yield credit bonds could indicate more upside for equities is ahead.

Equity Market Still Likes Monetary Stimulus

By David O'Malley | October 26, 2015

Despite weak economic data and mediocre earnings, stocks have rallied sharply on expected additional monetary stimulus from the European Central Bank (ECB).

Financial Engineering Flashing Red for U.S. Equity Valuations

By Mark Heppenstall | July 16, 2015

Six years into one of the most unloved bull markets in U.S. equities, investors are still searching for signs that the positive run may be coming to an end. Looking… Read More



Disclosure Statement

The material provided here is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management.

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This material is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management.  This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.

Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute judgment of the author and are subject to change without notice.  The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from sources deemed to be reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete.  Statements that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance of the markets may be considered forward-looking statements.  Actual results may differ significantly.  Any forecasts contained in this material are based on various estimates and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such estimates or assumptions will prove accurate.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  All information referenced in preparation of this material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information and Penn Mutual Asset Management shall have no liability for decisions based upon such information.

High-Yield bonds are subject to greater fluctuations in value and risk of loss of income and principal. Investing in higher yielding, lower rated corporate bonds have a greater risk of price fluctuations and loss of principal and income than U.S. Treasury bonds and bills. Government securities offer a higher degree of safety and are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest if held to maturity.

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