The Long View

Monday Morning O’Malley

A weekly take on the economy and the market, from Dave O’Malley, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of Penn Mutual Asset Management.

Latest Stories

Interest Rates Move Higher

By David O'Malley | January 22, 2018

My EAGLES are going to the Super Bowl! Fly Eagles Fly… The 10-year Treasury ended last week at 2.66% – its highest level since 2014. A combination of factors are pushing… Read More

Will Earnings Keep the Stock Market Momentum Going?

By David O'Malley | January 16, 2018

Last week’s inflation data came in slightly above expectations while most equity markets continued to rally. Stocks pushed to new all-time highs on optimism for economic growth, deregulation and a… Read More

Markets Turn Attention to Inflation Reports

By David O'Malley | January 8, 2018

Two U.S. inflation reports being released on Thursday and Friday will highlight the week ahead. The release of the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index will show if inflationary… Read More

Predictions for the Year Ahead

By David O'Malley | January 2, 2018

Happy 2018! Last year was an eventful one for the markets as optimism about growth and pro-business policies pushed markets higher. The new year starts with most of the economic… Read More

Tax Reform Expected to be Signed into Law This Week

By David O'Malley | December 18, 2017

After a lot of anticipation and a busy congressional review process this fall, it looks highly probable that tax reform will be passed into law this week. With the remaining holdout Republican Senators publicly announcing their support, the path is now clear for the largest change in tax policy in three decades.

Central Banks Take Center Stage

By David O'Malley | December 11, 2017

This week, several key central banks are holding monetary policy meetings. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BOE) and Swiss National Bank are all providing their last policy guidance of the year.

Economic Data Overshadowed by Events in Washington

By David O'Malley | December 4, 2017

The events in Washington overshadowed the release of solid economic data last week. With consistent economic data emerging over the last few weeks, markets have shifted their primary attention to the events in Washington. 

Fed Minutes and Tax Reform

By David O'Malley | November 20, 2017

This holiday-shortened week is highlighted by the release of the minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and any potential updates regarding the progress of tax… Read More

Inflation Data this Week to Remain Subdued 

By David O'Malley | November 13, 2017

Tuesday’s release of the Producers Price Index (PPI) and Wednesday’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be the economic data highlights this week. With inflation remaining stubbornly low despite strong employment conditions and the odds of a December interest rate increase running around 80%, the importance of the pace of inflation data takes on greater significance.

Oil Prices Continue to Climb Higher

By David O'Malley | November 6, 2017

Last week Jerome Powell was nominated as the next Federal Reserve chairman. In addition to this key announcement other market-moving data, including the employment report, tax bill and treasury refunding,… Read More



Disclosure Statement

This blog post is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, Dave O’Malley, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.

Any statements about financial and company performance of The Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company or its insurance subsidiaries (each, “Client”) made by the author is provided with a written consent from the Client.  Penn Mutual Asset Management is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company.

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Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute judgment of the author and are subject to change without notice.  The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from sources deemed to be reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete.  Statements that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance of the markets may be considered forward-looking statements.  Actual results may differ significantly.  Any forecasts contained in this material are based on various estimates and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such estimates or assumptions will prove accurate.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  All information referenced in preparation of this material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information and Penn Mutual Asset Management shall have no liability for decisions based upon such information.

High-Yield bonds are subject to greater fluctuations in value and risk of loss of income and principal. Investing in higher yielding, lower rated corporate bonds have a greater risk of price fluctuations and loss of principal and income than U.S. Treasury bonds and bills. Government securities offer a higher degree of safety and are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest if held to maturity.

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